Trade What Is, Not What Should Be
The SPX bounced off its 200DEMA inflection point and made a 8-day Fib day count run to test the highs of its 2015 relatively narrow trading range and made a 7/20 2132.8 intraday high before closing on 7/23 at 2102.15, or +2.1% YTD. As of last Fri [7/17] the SPX was +3.3% YTD. However, the […]
Significant Time Symmetry
The SPX finished +0.1% for May on below average volume, which is the norm these days, but the Central Bank manipulated market continues to get marked up higher with a cycle high daily close of 2130.82 [5/21] following the 2130.72 intraday high 5/20]. The index has essentially ranged all of 2015 and is +0.2% YTD. […]
Enhanced Trade Selection
The SPX bull market top in 2007 was 2,757 CD`s from the 3/24/00 bull market top, and this week is 2757 CD`s from that 2007 top preceding the “Panic of 2008”, so there is certainly long term symmetry. The SPX made 2120 cycle high on 2/25/15 and made a 2126 intraday high on 4/27/17 before […]
Inflection Point Zone with Symmetry
The SPX made a cycle high of 2120 on 2/25/15 and a closing high of 2117.52 on 3/2/15. It has since declined -3.8% to the 2039.69 intraday low on 3/11/15, and has also declined for the third straight week and closed at 2053.40, or -0.9% on the week. It is significant to note that March […]
Using My Implied Volatility Calculator
The SPX finished 2014 +11.4% to 2080.35, declined -4.3% in Jan, and is +4.7% so far in Feb after significant headline volatility, most of which is Central Bank and EU related, with significant intraday volatility opportunities preceded by the “funny money” globex futures gyrations. If there is a market that is not fixed anymore please […]
It Is Imperative You are Cognizant of the Fib and Pi Symmetry in Play
The SPX finished +11.4% on the year to 2080.35, with the leader being the QQQ at +19.2% The index made its 2014 and cycle high at 2093.60 on 12/29, just 2 days in front of the 12/31 8.6 cycle Pi time symmetry date The Pi date is measured from the 3/6/09 bear market 667 low […]
After 6 Good Years…
Today is the final day for the Daily Battle Plan. After 6 good years, we’ll finish 2014 with the ETF model portfolio in all cash. When I started the Daily Battle Plan, the world was very different than it was today. It was the 4th quarter of 2008 and the market was living through one […]
A Two-Day Pullback Here will Set Up a Nice Opportunity
The US market remains moderately overbought. As of now though, the US is the bastion of safety for the world as events in Europe and Asia continue to experience their short-term gyrations. A two-day pullback here will set up a nice opportunity to go long heading into 2015.
Trading will be Light, Hard to Imagine 2014 S&P Gains in the Low Teens to Disappear
The US market is overbought. There are high expectations for the market to continue to rise over the next three days and those expectations are reflected from last week’s buying. Trading will be light and it’s hard to imagine the powers that be will allow 2014 S&P gains in the low teens to disappear. Outside […]
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The Quiet Upward Bias will Remain the Path of Least Resistance
The US market is very overbought but with light trading over the next few days, the quiet upward bias will remain the path of least resistance unless an out-of the ordinary event occurs, We’ll pick this back up again on Monday. Enjoy the Holiday!
The Powers That Be Want to See This Year Finish With Gains
Today’s commentary is identical to yesterdays. This could potentially be a quiet two weeks because its year end and due to last weeks rally, most funds will be looking to make sure the gains are booked. Headline news, especially from Europe and Russia are risks that are being reflected in the VIX. But the powers […]