What The Market Thinks Of The Retail Data

The major
averages are wavering around the unchanged

level midday, as key updates from retail companies are factored in. The retail
sector is slightly positive, as Sears leads the action with better-than-expected
same-store sales. Weighing the sector down is JC Penney which has guided lower
for the first quarter. Yahoo! is riding high and giving Internet stocks a boost
after posting better-than-expected earnings, though biotechs are getting whacked
after Genentech’s earnings disappointed.

The Dow Jones Industrial
Average

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is -0.20% at 8,181.63. The S&P 500
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is +0.12% at 866.99. The Nasdaq
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is +0.21% at 1,359.56.

Today’s strength is in
Internet

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, +4.55%, oil service
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,
+2.76%, and semiconductors
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, +0.99%.

Weak today are biotechnology
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, -1.69%, airlines
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, -1.00%, and
healthcare providers
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, -0.81%.

In economic news, initial
claims
came in at 405K vs. expectations of 425K, the trade balance
showed a loss of $40.3 billion vs. expectations a loss of $41.2 billion.

The 10-year U.S. Note
is -010 at 114 165.

The dollar is -0.37 at
100.16.

Gold is -0.10 at 325.50.

Crude Oil  -0.48 at
28.35.

Volume is at 593,901,000
on the NYSE, and at 645,082,000 on the Nasdaq.

Market breadth is mixed,
with NYSE advancing issues over declining issues by a ratio of 1.12, and down
volume over up volume by a 1.29 ratio. Nasdaq declining issues over advancing
issues are at 1.09, and up volume is over down volume by a 1.42 ratio.

Biggest Dow gainers are:

Intel
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,
+1.23% at 16.89,  Hewlett Packard
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HPQ |
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, +1.04% at 15.52, Home
Depot

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HD |
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, +0.85% at 25.97, 3M
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, +0.84% at 132.71,
Caterpillar

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, +0.52% at 51.98, and Walt Disney
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DIS |
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,
+0.53% at 17.19.

Stocks in the news:

Media and commerce company
USA Interactive

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, +7.22% at 26.91, announced it will purchase the
shares of Hotels.com
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, +20.88% at 64.43, that it doesn’t
already own in a deal worth $1.1 billion.

Chip maker Applied Micro
Circuits Corp.

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, +2.01% at 3.407, said it will eliminate 626
jobs, or 31% of its work force.

Media company Fox
Entertainment

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, -19.56% at 21.92, has been downgraded by Merrill
Lynch to “sell” from “buy” after its parent company News Corp.
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,
-6.39% at 25.48, announced its interest in acquiring Hughes Electronics
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,
-9.67% at 10.37.

Investment services company
T. Rowe Price

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, -2.87% at 27.05, has guided lower for the
first-quarter, and now expects to earn $0.29 per share vs. a consensus of $0.34
per share.

Retailers are active today with
 JC Penney
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JCP |
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, -4.45% at 18.05, has guided lower for the
first-quarter, and now expects to earn $0.18-0.23 per share vs. a consensus of
$0.32. And Talbots
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TLB |
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, +7.82% at 28.00, has guided lower for the
first-quarter, and now expects to earn $0.48-0.51 per share vs. a consensus of
$0.54.

Sears
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, +3.45% at
26.10, announced that monthly same store sales were down 3.1% which was better
than expected due to a strong home improvement business.

Federated Department Stores
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, +0.89% at 28.39, said that same store sales were down 6.5%, though
believes it will meet its first-quarter earnings targets.

Computer services company
GTECH

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, -4.83% at 34.49, has beat its fourth-quarter earnings
expectations by $0.10 with profits of $0.72 per share.

Beverage company
Constellation Brands

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, +5.44% at 24.43, has beat its fourth-quarter
earnings by $0.03 with profits of $0.44 per share.

Online company Yahoo!
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,
+3.58% at 23.69, has beat its first-quarter earnings expectations by
$0.02 with profits of $0.08 per share.

Software company Infosys
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, -28.25% at 42.57, has guided lower for 2004, and now expects to see
earnings per share at $1.70-1.73 vs. a consensus of $1.83. The company also said
it expects to meet first-quarter earnings, though partially blames a weak
economy on longer term targets.

Prudential has upgraded the oil
services and equipment sector to “market outperform” from “market perform”, and
has upgraded the following stocks to “buy” from “hold”: Transocean Inc.
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,
+3.15% at 20.30, Noble Corp.
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NE |
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, +2.40% at 32.00, Weatherford
International

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, +2.83% at 38.86, and Schlumberger
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,
+2.84% at 38.77.

Transportation company
Expiditors International

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, -3.18% at 34.14, has been downgraded
by JP Morgan to “neutral” from “overweight”.

Bookseller Barnes and Noble
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, -0.65% at 18.39, has guided lower for the first-quarter, and expects
a loss between $0.07-0.11 vs. a consensus of a loss of $0.03.

Healthcare company HCA
Healthcare

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HCA |
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, -4.49% at 35.97, has been downgraded by Bank of
America to “neutral” from “buy”.


danielb@tradingmarkets.com